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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114605010015011679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
78Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
116Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
55.11.4
49.751.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
red by 19.7
9245
#11
35.41.3
31.833.1
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
Second
28.11.4
26.928.3
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
red by 4.7
6067
#17
23.41.3
21.723.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Third
5084
#19
24.41.4
22.724.1
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 12.2
4994
#31
12.31.3
9.510.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed