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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876220408010012014014384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+59Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
113Total teleop64
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
12Foul points0
143Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#12
40.92.8
36.939.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
red by 10.8
245
#24
30.10.4
26.526.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Second
7491
#32
23.52.8
19.122.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
red by 3.7
4998
#22
19.80.4
17.918.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
1
#15
18.92.8
16.419.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
red by 6.2
5282
#40
12.70.4
13.413.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed