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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10156020408012014010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+29Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
19Coral scored#12
70Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
94Total teleop58
Reef
11L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
109Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.10.7
44.144.8
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 21.0
3534
#29
25.11.4
24.325.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
8193
#18
25.60.7
25.526.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 11.9
5234
#38
13.71.4
12.413.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Third
5235
#37
12.60.7
10.110.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
red by 0.8
11.81.4
11.512.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed