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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48126010015020068122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
53Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points12
68Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#27
21.01.5
16.317.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 24.4
494
#2
45.30.3
41.942.2
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Second
7195
#16
17.91.5
16.718.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 19.5
910
#9
37.40.3
37.337.6
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Third
17.31.5
16.618.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 10.6
1504
#26
27.90.3
27.027.3
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned