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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28950204060801201401603583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
21Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +16
8Cage & park24
8Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
35Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9757
#13
18.20.2
17.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
blue by 13.1
573
#7
31.30.0
29.129.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Second
5697
#30
10.60.2
10.910.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 18.1
28.70.0
27.327.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
Third
5260
#39
7.60.2
6.05.8
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 16.4
5641
#21
23.90.0
23.823.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned