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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81796070901008797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
57Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points4
87Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#12
40.90.9
39.740.6
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
blue by 14.2
27
#5
55.11.4
51.152.5
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
9207
#25
20.21.0
19.820.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 7.6
8385
#20
12.61.5
12.113.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Third
16.20.9
15.316.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 3.9
4994
#31
12.31.4
10.812.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned