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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10892608010012014016010590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
79Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
105Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
37.40.4
37.637.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
red by 11.7
8193
#18
25.60.6
26.225.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
28.10.4
28.327.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
red by 3.0
3534
#29
25.10.6
25.625.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
7491
#32
23.50.4
22.021.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
blue by 0.9
5084
#19
24.40.6
24.123.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed