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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106864060801001201401608984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
47Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
89Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.8
56.155.4
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 10.6
70
#8
46.10.4
44.845.2
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Second
1
#15
18.90.8
19.218.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 4.5
6067
#17
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Third
17.30.8
18.117.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 6.5
9697
#36
10.80.4
10.410.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned