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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74894060801001207285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
50Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
72Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#7
31.30.2
29.129.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
blue by 14.1
494
#2
45.30.6
42.242.8
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Second
894
#23
25.10.2
24.725.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
red by 4.1
5150
#27
21.00.6
17.818.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
6631
#28
15.10.2
14.915.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 3.1
9757
#13
18.20.6
17.418.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned