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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565740506070808566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+19Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
63Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
85Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#11
35.41.7
33.134.9
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
red by 8.3
9648
#14
27.10.1
26.326.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
Second
5235
#37
12.61.7
10.812.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 1.1
5234
#38
13.70.1
13.813.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Third
5260
#39
7.61.7
5.87.6
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 3.1
5697
#30
10.60.1
10.710.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed