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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9943020608012014016010731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
70Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
107Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#24
30.11.2
26.928.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
red by 17.3
5282
#40
12.71.1
13.812.7
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Second
28.71.2
27.328.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
red by 16.2
8385
#20
12.61.1
13.612.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Third
7784
#10
26.11.2
24.826.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
red by 14.3
11.81.1
12.811.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed