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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711124060801001201401607190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
62Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
71Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#26
27.90.1
27.327.4
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
blue by 32.1
60.00.6
59.258.6
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
Second
5641
#21
23.90.1
23.823.9
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
red by 3.8
9207
#25
20.20.6
20.820.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Third
4998
#22
19.80.1
18.318.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
red by 1.9
7195
#16
17.90.6
18.217.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed