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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10892608010012014016018010894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
76Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points4
108Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.10.1
46.146.2
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 5.3
2145
#12
40.90.1
40.840.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
Second
9648
#14
27.10.1
27.127.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
blue by 1.0
28.10.1
28.028.1
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
Third
5084
#19
24.40.1
24.424.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 6.5
7195
#16
17.90.1
17.817.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0