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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412080100160180200134119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+19Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
84Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#2
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points4
134Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.0
59.959.8
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 4.9
27
#5
55.10.1
54.053.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
56.70.0
56.656.6
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 11.4
494
#2
45.30.1
44.244.1
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Third
4998
#22
19.80.0
19.719.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 1.2
5150
#27
21.00.1
19.919.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6