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Red158
7046.1
964827.1
508424.4
Blue147
57331.3
749123.5
24530.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11295406080120140160158147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
22Coral scored#22
79Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
111Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#10
9L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points0
158Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.10.7
45.546.1
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 14.9
573
#7
31.30.9
30.431.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Second
9648
#14
27.10.7
26.427.1
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
blue by 3.0
245
#24
30.10.9
29.230.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Third
5084
#19
24.40.7
23.724.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 0.9
7491
#32
23.50.9
22.623.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1