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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98940501502008771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
87Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#12
40.90.0
40.840.8
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
red by 3.5
910
#9
37.40.3
37.737.4
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Second
28.10.0
28.028.0
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
blue by 0.6
28.70.3
29.028.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
Third
7195
#16
17.90.0
17.817.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 0.3
9757
#13
18.20.3
18.518.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3