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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12398608014016018015298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
23Coral scored#16
84Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
98Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#4
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
152Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
55.10.8
53.254.0
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
red by 8.9
70
#8
46.10.1
45.445.5
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Second
494
#2
45.30.8
43.444.2
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
red by 18.3
9648
#14
27.10.1
26.426.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
Third
5150
#27
21.00.8
19.019.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 3.4
5084
#19
24.40.1
23.723.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6