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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150895010020016177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+84Teleop
+90Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave9
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points10
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +52
17Coral scored#7
62Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
96Total teleop44
Reef
13L4#3
4L3#3
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points6
161Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.6
59.359.9
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 19.1
2145
#12
40.90.4
41.240.8
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
Second
56.70.6
56.156.6
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 28.6
28.10.4
28.428.0
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
Third
4998
#22
19.80.6
19.119.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
red by 1.9
7195
#16
17.90.4
18.217.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0