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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039640608012014016018012987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
88Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
10Foul points0
129Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#12
40.90.6
40.641.2
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
red by 9.6
573
#7
31.30.0
29.329.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Second
28.10.6
27.828.4
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
blue by 2.0
245
#24
30.10.0
28.128.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Third
7195
#16
17.90.6
17.618.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 5.6
7491
#32
23.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1