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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1308020406010012014016018014370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+59Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points40
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
12Processor points0
20Net points12
32Algae points12
97Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#6
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
143Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
55.10.7
52.553.2
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
red by 29.0
7784
#10
26.10.1
26.025.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Second
494
#2
45.30.7
42.843.4
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
red by 20.2
3534
#29
25.10.1
25.124.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
5150
#27
21.00.7
18.419.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 4.1
894
#23
25.10.1
25.024.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8