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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88106406080120140160180100103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
58Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
100Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
37.40.4
37.137.5
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
blue by 8.8
70
#8
46.10.2
45.245.4
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Second
28.70.4
28.528.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
red by 1.6
9648
#14
27.10.2
26.226.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
Third
9757
#13
18.20.4
18.018.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
blue by 6.2
5084
#19
24.40.2
23.523.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6