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Red241
589583.9
32463.1
118105.8
Blue257
594097.3
147762.6
25493.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269268240250260280290241257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
10Coral scored#10
49Coral points50
58Total auto59
TeleoperatedRed +1
29Coral scored#27
105Coral points96
4Processor algae#6
7Net algae#6
24Processor points36
28Net points24
52Algae points60
157Total teleop156
Reef
14L4#17
14L3#6
5L2#10
6L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
241Total score257

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.2
105.2105.0
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 8.5
97.30.1
97.897.7
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
Second
83.90.2
83.383.1
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
blue by 9.1
254
#4
93.00.1
93.693.5
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Third
324
#56
63.10.2
62.662.4
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
red by 0.5
1477
#31
62.60.1
63.263.1
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7