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Red262
589583.9
32463.1
118105.8
Blue261
594097.3
147762.6
25493.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268267220240260280300262261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
13Coral scored#10
65Coral points48
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +7
34Coral scored#28
123Coral points100
4Processor algae#7
6Net algae#9
24Processor points42
24Net points36
48Algae points78
171Total teleop178
Reef
15L4#12
12L3#12
11L2#8
9L1 · trough#6
57Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
262Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.2
105.0105.2
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 8.5
97.30.0
97.797.7
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
Second
83.90.2
83.183.3
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
blue by 9.1
254
#4
93.00.0
93.593.4
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Third
324
#56
63.10.2
62.462.5
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
red by 0.5
1477
#31
62.60.0
63.163.1
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7