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Red284
589583.9
32463.1
118105.8
Blue235
594097.3
147762.6
25493.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268267220240260280300284235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
54Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +19
39Coral scored#34
142Coral points121
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
18Processor points24
28Net points24
46Algae points48
188Total teleop169
Reef
20L4#12
10L3#14
10L2#12
8L1 · trough#4
58Game pieces#52
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points0
284Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.6
105.2105.8
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 8.5
97.30.4
97.797.3
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
Second
83.90.6
83.383.9
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
blue by 9.1
254
#4
93.00.4
93.493.0
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Third
324
#56
63.10.6
62.563.1
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
red by 0.5
1477
#31
62.60.4
63.162.6
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7