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Red174
181630.6
91069.2
446757.7
Blue120
902421.6
412265.5
600258.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169144100200250174120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points64
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
101Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points2
174Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
69.20.7
60.160.8
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
red by 3.7
4122
#37
65.52.2
58.156.0
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Second
4467
#20
57.70.7
53.254.0
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End7.1
blue by 0.5
6002
#46
58.22.2
48.646.5
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
Third
1816
#64
30.60.7
40.541.3
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
red by 9.0
9024
#73
21.62.2
32.330.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned