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Red182
566549.7
194268.4
214562.2
Blue88
910565.0
272029.0
341468.6
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18617910015020025018288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+92Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +64
26Coral scored#13
94Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
122Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#3
9L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
182Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#11
68.40.6
68.469.0
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
blue by 0.2
3414
#40
68.65.1
61.856.7
Auto15.0
Teleop44.8
End8.8
Second
2145
#21
62.20.6
59.960.6
Auto20.7
Teleop34.9
End6.5
blue by 2.8
9105
#26
65.05.1
67.962.8
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
Third
5665
#34
49.70.6
44.244.8
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
red by 20.7
2720
#70
29.05.1
35.330.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
89%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed