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Red200
164058.3
740785.1
50355.3
Blue137
21755.9
297639.3
359839.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20413050100150250200137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+43Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
11Net algae#5
12Processor points12
44Net points20
56Algae points32
117Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#7
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#27
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
200Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.10.6
78.879.5
Auto24.4
Teleop48.4
End12.3
red by 29.2
217
#28
55.90.1
57.958.0
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
Second
1640
#59
58.30.6
52.553.1
Auto10.7
Teleop38.8
End8.8
red by 18.9
3598
#58
39.40.1
35.535.7
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End8.3
Third
503
#7
55.30.6
48.148.7
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
red by 16.0
2976
#25
39.30.1
30.330.5
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned