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Red125
561474.2
332255.4
300657.5
Blue204
58758.8
874963.8
589583.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179209100150200250125204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+59
Endgame+79
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
26Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +45
15Coral scored#21
55Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
83Total teleop128
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#8
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points0
125Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#17
74.23.8
67.463.6
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
blue by 9.7
83.90.3
84.984.6
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
Second
57.53.8
54.450.6
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
blue by 6.3
8749
#15
63.80.3
58.858.6
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
Third
3322
#44
55.43.8
51.848.0
Auto10.2
Teleop37.1
End8.1
blue by 3.4
587
#27
58.80.3
55.655.3
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned