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Red216
779057.6
545444.3
594097.3
Blue192
213777.5
1001524.3
432260.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215156100200250300216192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+4Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
3Leave3
11Coral scored#7
54Coral points35
57Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +15
24Coral scored#33
85Coral points120
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
133Total teleop148
Reef
12L4#14
14L3#16
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#46
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
216Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.30.6
100.5101.1
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
red by 19.7
2137
#10
77.52.0
72.874.8
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
Second
7790
#41
57.60.6
54.254.8
Auto12.5
Teleop40.5
End4.7
blue by 2.5
4322
#32
60.12.0
56.358.3
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End4.9
Third
5454
#50
44.30.6
41.742.3
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 20.0
24.32.0
21.523.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed