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Red203
25493.0
705660.1
1033718.8
Blue105
557262.0
902936.5
715351.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178154120140200220240203105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+90Teleop
+110Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +87
33Coral scored#14
120Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
158Total teleop71
Reef
17L4#5
6L3#6
6L2#2
7L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
0Foul points12
203Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#4
93.01.8
90.292.0
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
red by 31.0
5572
#33
62.04.5
63.358.7
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
Second
7056
#30
60.11.8
57.959.7
Auto10.9
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 8.8
7153
#48
51.34.5
55.651.1
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End7.3
Third
18.82.5
17.419.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 17.8
9029
#42
36.54.5
31.026.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed