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Red185
802042.9
131868.6
415277.0
Blue240
233782.5
118105.8
508932.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192221140160180200240260280185240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave3
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points50
44Total auto53
TeleoperatedBlue +36
21Coral scored#34
77Coral points121
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
24Processor points12
24Net points28
48Algae points40
125Total teleop161
Reef
9L4#21
9L3#12
4L2#5
7L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
185Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#52
77.00.7
70.469.7
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
blue by 28.8
118
#2
105.81.2
107.3108.5
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
Second
1318
#38
68.60.7
68.868.1
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
blue by 13.9
2337
#51
82.51.2
79.480.6
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
Third
8020
#43
42.90.7
45.244.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.3
End9.6
red by 10.7
5089
#12
32.21.2
23.724.9
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned