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Red138
902421.6
95770.8
288154.9
Blue156
87667.7
300657.5
910565.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16919050100150250300138156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
8Coral scored#6
40Coral points28
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
82Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#11
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
138Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#16
70.81.3
67.265.8
Auto18.9
Teleop40.8
End11.1
red by 3.1
876
#23
67.71.3
62.260.9
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
Second
2881
#65
54.91.3
60.759.4
Auto12.5
Teleop34.2
End8.1
blue by 10.1
9105
#26
65.01.3
62.861.5
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
Third
9024
#73
21.61.3
30.228.8
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 36.0
57.51.3
50.649.3
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned