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Red223
589583.9
108649.6
1002149.6
Blue125
21755.9
580023.0
412265.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180141100150200250223125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+84Teleop
+94Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave9
10Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points68
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
24Processor points18
32Net points12
56Algae points30
140Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#5
12L3#7
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
6Foul points2
223Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.92.8
84.687.4
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
red by 18.4
4122
#37
65.51.5
56.054.5
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Second
1086
#49
49.62.8
32.135.0
Auto14.2
Teleop30.4
End5.0
blue by 6.3
217
#28
55.91.5
58.056.5
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
Third
49.62.8
46.549.3
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
red by 26.6
5800
#72
23.02.0
20.318.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned