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Red172
102359.1
118105.8
600258.2
Blue231
360476.0
168374.2
359839.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243180100150200300172231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+39
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +39
29Coral scored#36
105Coral points128
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
12Processor points12
12Net points28
24Algae points40
129Total teleop168
Reef
9L4#13
10L3#11
10L2#11
6L1 · trough#8
40Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
172Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.83.1
106.8103.7
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 29.8
3604
#39
76.03.5
71.575.1
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
Second
1023
#19
59.13.1
54.951.7
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End5.4
blue by 15.1
1683
#18
74.23.5
67.170.6
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
Third
6002
#46
58.23.1
51.448.3
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
red by 18.9
3598
#58
39.43.5
34.337.8
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned