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Red159
108649.6
802042.9
300657.5
Blue117
174161.1
181630.6
1033718.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165128050100150200250300159117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+22Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points36
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +28
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
93Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
159Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.8
56.357.1
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
blue by 3.5
1741
#24
61.10.1
61.361.4
Auto20.3
Teleop36.8
End4.0
Second
1086
#49
49.60.8
46.447.2
Auto14.2
Teleop30.4
End5.0
red by 19.0
1816
#64
30.60.1
31.631.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
Third
8020
#43
42.90.8
41.542.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.3
End9.6
red by 24.2
18.80.1
20.020.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned