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Red223
301565.9
367473.3
91069.2
Blue201
194268.4
651055.9
331068.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219204150250300223201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+8
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave3
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points29
44Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +20
31Coral scored#27
111Coral points97
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#9
12Processor points30
20Net points36
32Algae points66
143Total teleop163
Reef
17L4#14
11L3#7
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#47
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
223Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.30.7
72.873.5
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 5.0
1942
#11
68.40.1
71.070.8
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
Second
910
#5
69.20.7
62.463.2
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
red by 1.2
3310
#47
68.00.1
63.763.6
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
Third
3015
#14
65.90.7
65.566.3
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.1
red by 10.0
6510
#54
55.90.1
57.257.1
Auto11.1
Teleop38.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed