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Qual 1072025 Milstein Division
Red168
406950.9
5865.5
779057.6
Blue227
131868.6
87667.7
146865.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190216150200250300168227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points38
34Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +37
28Coral scored#33
100Coral points117
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
120Total teleop157
Reef
14L4#20
9L3#7
4L2#6
7L1 · trough#8
38Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
168Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#45
65.51.2
68.0→66.8
Auto11.7
Teleop44.1
End9.7
blue by 3.1
1318
#38
68.61.2
69.1→70.4
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
Second
7790
#41
57.61.2
56.5→55.2
Auto12.5
Teleop40.5
End4.7
blue by 10.1
876
#23
67.71.2
66.1→67.4
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
Third
4069
#63
50.91.2
53.9→52.7
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
blue by 14.4
1468
#62
65.31.2
64.5→65.7
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned