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Red225
16764.2
288154.9
565352.5
Blue231
32463.1
1002149.6
25493.0
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172219100150200250300225231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +32
25Coral scored#38
91Coral points137
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
24Processor points18
28Net points20
52Algae points38
143Total teleop175
Reef
9L4#17
11L3#11
9L2#9
3L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points0
225Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#66
64.22.3
60.963.2
Auto20.5
Teleop38.5
End5.2
blue by 28.8
254
#4
93.01.3
90.992.2
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Second
2881
#65
54.92.3
54.857.0
Auto12.5
Teleop34.2
End8.1
blue by 8.3
324
#56
63.11.3
60.161.4
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
Third
5653
#71
52.52.3
49.852.1
Auto9.6
Teleop40.3
End2.6
red by 2.9
49.61.3
45.646.9
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned