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Red148
902421.6
233782.5
32150.5
Blue161
359839.4
874963.8
314260.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172173140160180200220148161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+15Teleop
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points47
41Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
99Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
148Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#51
82.51.2
82.781.5
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
red by 18.7
8749
#15
63.80.1
59.359.4
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
Second
321
#60
50.51.2
52.351.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.4
End5.5
blue by 9.9
3142
#36
60.50.1
59.959.9
Auto13.9
Teleop35.7
End10.8
Third
9024
#73
21.61.2
23.021.8
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 17.8
3598
#58
39.40.1
37.837.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned