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Red149
272029.0
332255.4
839350.6
Blue197
50355.3
902936.5
102359.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146164050100200250300350149197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +46
21Coral scored#33
74Coral points118
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
96Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#14
5L3#10
3L2#7
6L1 · trough#9
32Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
6Foul points2
149Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#44
55.40.1
53.954.0
Auto10.2
Teleop37.1
End8.1
blue by 3.8
1023
#19
59.13.0
51.754.7
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End5.4
Second
8393
#35
50.60.1
47.547.6
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1
blue by 4.7
503
#7
55.33.0
51.954.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
Third
2720
#70
29.00.1
28.528.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
blue by 7.5
9029
#42
36.53.0
35.338.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned