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Red234
213777.5
248664.1
1002149.6
Blue202
415277.0
359839.4
58758.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201183100150250300234202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
8Coral scored#12
38Coral points58
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +46
28Coral scored#24
100Coral points86
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
30Processor points6
24Net points16
54Algae points22
154Total teleop108
Reef
17L4#19
6L3#6
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
234Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#10
77.52.7
73.676.3
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
red by 0.6
4152
#52
77.01.5
73.374.8
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
Second
2486
#22
64.12.7
61.364.1
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End11.3
red by 5.3
587
#27
58.81.5
57.358.8
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
Third
49.62.7
46.949.6
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
red by 10.3
3598
#58
39.41.5
37.939.4
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned