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Red242
842942.2
118105.8
214562.2
Blue171
557262.0
32150.5
50355.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234184100150200250300242171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +48
28Coral scored#23
100Coral points84
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#4
24Processor points12
36Net points16
60Algae points28
160Total teleop112
Reef
10L4#10
10L3#10
11L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points0
242Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.8
104.0104.8
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 43.8
5572
#33
62.00.6
62.662.0
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
Second
2145
#21
62.20.8
61.462.2
Auto20.7
Teleop34.9
End6.5
red by 6.9
503
#7
55.30.6
54.954.3
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
Third
8429
#57
42.20.8
41.442.2
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
blue by 8.4
321
#60
50.50.6
51.150.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned