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Red187
600258.2
910565.0
651055.9
Blue191
147762.6
297639.3
839350.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18412950100150200250300187191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
20Coral scored#26
73Coral points95
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
24Processor points12
20Net points24
44Algae points36
117Total teleop131
Reef
10L4#13
8L3#9
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
187Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#26
65.00.6
61.562.1
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
red by 2.3
1477
#31
62.63.8
63.867.6
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
Second
6002
#46
58.20.6
48.449.0
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
red by 7.6
8393
#35
50.63.8
27.631.4
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1
Third
6510
#54
55.90.6
57.057.6
Auto11.1
Teleop38.3
End6.5
red by 16.6
2976
#25
39.33.8
31.435.2
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned