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Red192
168374.2
164058.3
300657.5
Blue185
1002149.6
859268.6
561474.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168199100150250300192185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points30
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +19
29Coral scored#26
105Coral points92
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
12Processor points18
28Net points16
40Algae points34
145Total teleop126
Reef
16L4#16
10L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
192Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#18
74.20.9
62.763.6
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
Level
5614
#17
74.20.8
63.762.9
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
Second
1640
#59
58.30.9
53.754.5
Auto10.7
Teleop38.8
End8.8
blue by 10.4
8592
#53
68.60.8
72.972.1
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
Third
57.50.9
49.350.2
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
red by 7.9
49.60.8
49.348.5
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned