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Red161
58758.8
557262.0
545444.3
Blue79
108649.6
902421.6
272029.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1849305015020025016179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+84Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +70
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
18Processor points6
28Net points4
46Algae points10
110Total teleop40
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
161Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#33
62.00.4
61.861.4
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
red by 12.4
1086
#49
49.61.4
35.033.6
Auto14.2
Teleop30.4
End5.0
Second
587
#27
58.80.4
56.355.9
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
red by 29.8
2720
#70
29.01.4
30.629.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Third
5454
#50
44.30.4
42.341.9
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 22.8
9024
#73
21.61.4
28.827.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned