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Red160
233782.5
566549.7
580023.0
Blue161
367473.3
902936.5
680629.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413350100150200250160161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points27
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
26Coral scored#25
94Coral points89
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
126Total teleop113
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#10
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
160Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#51
82.50.5
80.581.0
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
red by 9.2
73.31.9
69.271.2
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
5665
#34
49.70.5
45.846.2
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
red by 13.2
9029
#42
36.51.9
25.927.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.7
End1.5
Third
5800
#72
23.00.6
18.318.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 6.0
6806
#75
29.11.9
26.528.4
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned