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Red233
25493.0
21755.9
131868.6
Blue196
341468.6
32150.5
360476.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236176100150200250300233196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+55Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave3
11Coral scored#7
53Coral points34
53Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +39
33Coral scored#25
118Coral points91
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
162Total teleop123
Reef
15L4#10
14L3#9
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
53Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points0
233Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#4
93.00.2
93.593.7
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
red by 17.0
3604
#39
76.01.0
66.067.0
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
Second
1318
#38
68.60.2
66.466.6
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
Level
3414
#40
68.61.0
57.658.6
Auto15.0
Teleop44.8
End8.8
Third
217
#28
55.90.2
56.556.7
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
red by 5.4
321
#60
50.51.0
46.547.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned