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Red191
301565.9
45657.9
446757.7
Blue146
314260.5
87667.7
508932.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181165100150200250191146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
124Total teleop100
Reef
14L4#10
8L3#5
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
191Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#14
65.90.8
61.462.2
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.1
blue by 1.8
876
#23
67.71.0
62.461.5
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
Second
456
#13
57.90.8
54.154.9
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
blue by 2.5
3142
#36
60.51.0
62.061.0
Auto13.9
Teleop35.7
End10.8
Third
4467
#20
57.70.8
52.353.1
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End7.1
red by 25.5
5089
#12
32.21.0
24.823.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned