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Red171
432260.1
589583.9
415277.0
Blue155
406950.9
715351.3
181630.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23715350100200300171155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave6
11Coral scored#3
57Coral points16
57Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#20
58Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
82Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#7
10L3#7
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
171Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.94.0
87.483.4
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
red by 32.6
7153
#48
51.30.3
53.052.6
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End7.3
Second
4152
#52
77.04.0
68.764.7
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
red by 26.1
4069
#63
50.90.3
54.654.3
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
Third
4322
#32
60.14.0
58.254.1
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End4.9
red by 29.6
1816
#64
30.60.3
41.441.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned