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Red198
16764.2
705660.1
224049.5
Blue225
50355.3
412265.5
594097.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17022950100150200250300198225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
43Coral points30
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
30Coral scored#29
107Coral points105
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#10
12Processor points24
20Net points40
32Algae points64
139Total teleop169
Reef
13L4#12
11L3#8
10L2#11
5L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
198Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#66
64.21.2
58.359.5
Auto20.5
Teleop38.5
End5.2
blue by 33.1
97.30.7
101.0101.7
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
Second
7056
#30
60.11.2
59.760.8
Auto10.9
Teleop40.0
End9.2
blue by 5.4
4122
#37
65.50.7
54.555.2
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Third
2240
#61
49.51.2
51.452.6
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End0.7
blue by 5.8
503
#7
55.30.7
47.948.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned